Multiperiod conditional distribution functions for conditionally normal GARCH(1, 1) models

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Multiperiod Conditional Distribution Functions for Conditionally Normal Garch(1, 1) Models

We study the asymptotic tail behavior of the conditional probability distributions of rt+k and rt+1 + · · · + rt+k when (rt )t∈N is a GARCH(1, 1) process. As an application, we examine the relation between the extreme lower quantiles of these random variables.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Applied Probability

سال: 2005

ISSN: 0021-9002,1475-6072

DOI: 10.1017/s0021900200000449